** OKTA Stock Analysis - Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ: OKTA)

OKTA Stock Deep Dive: Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ: OKTA)

One-Sentence Summary of Key Findings: Okta, Inc. is a leading cloud identity and access management (IAM) provider with robust revenue growth (~12% YoY to $2.92B in FY2026), improving profitability, strong analyst consensus for a Moderate Buy rating (avg. target ~$123, implying mixed upside/downside from recent $138.63 close), and focus on AI agent security amid recent stock volatility and analyst upgrades.

Current Stock Price (as of July 10, 2026 close)

Closing Price: $138.63 (down $10.21 or -6.86% on the day)

After-Hours: $138.02 (-0.44%)

Previous Close: $148.84

Market Cap: ~$24.09 billion

Key Stats: 52-week range $62.66 – $153.20 | Volume ~3.36M | Avg. Volume ~3.92M | Beta 0.77 | PE (TTM) ~100.5 | EPS (TTM) $1.39

Data Limitation: Stock prices are highly volatile and real-time; this reflects July 10, 2026 close from Yahoo Finance and other sources. Always verify live quotes.

More info: Yahoo Finance OKTA Quote

Stock Performance and Company Financials

Stock Performance (Facts from Market Data)

PeriodOKTA ReturnS&P 500 Return
YTD60.32%10.66%
1-Year46.84%20.62%
3-Year98.78%71.80%
5-Year44.95%73.37%

Fact: OKTA has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over YTD and 1-3 year periods but lags over 5 years.

Company Financials (FY2026 ended ~Jan 31, 2026, with recent quarterly updates)

MetricValueYoY Change
Total Revenue (FY2026)$2.919 billion+12%
Subscription Revenue$2.855 billion+12%
Q4 FY2026 Revenue$761 million+11%
GAAP Operating Income (FY2026)$149 million (5% margin)From -$74M loss
Gross Margin~77%Stable/Improving
Net Income (TTM)$247 millionProfitable turnaround
RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations)$4.827 billion (Q4)+15%
Cash (mrq)$2.59 billionStrong liquidity
Total Debt$411 millionLow (D/E 5.96%)

Fact: Revenue and RPO growth remain solid at double-digit rates; operating cash flow strong (~$920M TTM).

Interpretation: Transition to profitability and AI-focused products (e.g., Okta for AI Agents) signal improving operational leverage.

Uncertainty: Future growth estimates (analyst avg. 9-10% revenue growth for FY2027) depend on macroeconomic conditions, competition, and AI adoption success.

More info: Official Investor Relations | Yahoo Financials | Key Statistics

Data Limitations/Assumptions: Financials primarily from FY2026 reports and Q1 FY2027 previews (ended ~April 2026). Fiscal year ends Jan 31. Numbers are GAAP unless noted; non-GAAP metrics often higher. Historical comparisons assume consistent reporting.

Analyst Ratings

Consensus: Moderate Buy / Buy (based on 33-44 analysts)

Rating Breakdown (Recent)Count
Buy / Strong Buy27-33
Hold5-13
Sell1-2

Average 12-Month Price Target: $122.95 – $124 (range: Low $75, High $175)

Implied Upside/Downside: Varies widely; recent targets suggest potential downside from $138.63 close but recent upgrades (e.g., Scotiabank to Outperform/$165, KeyBanc raised to $175) reflect optimism.

Fact: Recent actions include multiple price target raises in June-July 2026 and Scotiabank upgrade on July 6, 2026.

Interpretation: Strong Buy tilt driven by AI/identity security tailwinds, though valuation concerns led to one downgrade (Mizuho to Neutral).

More info: Yahoo Analyst Estimates | TipRanks Forecast

Customers and Competitors

Customers

Interpretation: Broad adoption indicates sticky, recurring revenue model via subscriptions.

More info: Okta Official Site / Customer Stories

Competitors

CompetitorKey OverlapNotes
Microsoft (Entra ID / Azure AD)SSO, MFA, IAMLarge enterprise incumbent with deep integration
Google Cloud IdentityWorkforce & customer IAMCloud-native alternative
Ping Identity / SailPointIdentity governanceSpecialized IAM players
CyberArk, Zscaler, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto NetworksPrivileged access, zero-trust, securityBroader cybersecurity overlap
Auth0 (Okta subsidiary)Developer-focused IAMAcquired by Okta; strengthens position

Fact: Okta positions as independent, open-platform leader vs. hyperscalers.

More info: Competitive Landscape (Company Perspective)

Recent News Highlights (June-July 2026)

More info: Okta Newsroom | Yahoo News

Overall Data Limitations and Assumptions: All information synthesized from publicly available sources as of mid-July 2026 crawls. Financials and ratings are subject to revision; stock performance reflects historical periods only. No forward-looking guarantees. Not investment advice—consult professionals. Sources include Yahoo Finance, Okta IR, TipRanks, and analyst reports. Verify all data independently as markets move rapidly.