AMRC - Ameresco, Inc. Stock Analysis

One-Sentence Summary of Key Findings

Ameresco (AMRC) is a leading energy infrastructure solutions provider specializing in energy efficiency, renewable energy projects, and distributed generation, with strong Q2 2026 revenue growth of 9% year-over-year to $515.5 million, raised full-year EPS guidance, and a focus on decarbonization amid favorable clean energy trends, though facing typical project-based revenue variability and interest expense pressures. Source: Company IR

Stock Performance and Company Financials

Company Overview & History

Fact: Ameresco, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 by founder George P. Sakellaris and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts. It went public in 2010 and has delivered over $15 billion in solutions while contracting over 5 GW of energy resources since founding. The company operates primarily in North America and Europe, with ~1,500-1,600 employees.

Fact: In 2024, renewable assets and projects delivered ~17 million metric tons of CO2 emissions reductions (cumulative >125 million metric tons since 2010).

Interpretation: Ameresco positions itself as a full-lifecycle partner in the energy transition, leveraging Energy Savings Performance Contracts (ESPCs) and renewable asset ownership/operation for recurring revenue.

Uncertainty: Long-term success depends on policy support for renewables, interest rates affecting project financing, and execution on large infrastructure projects.

Recent Financial Highlights (Q2 2026)

Data Limitation: Q2 results reported August 3, 2026; cash flow from operations was negative in the quarter due to project timing/working capital (rolling 8-quarter adjusted average ~$29.6M positive).

Annual Financial Summary (Income Statement Data)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Total Revenue$1.82B$1.37B$1.77B$1.93B$1.98B
Gross Profit$290.83M$246.43M$256.09M$304.01M$308.56M
Operating Income$133.94M$84.87M$81.99M$128.56M$125.28M
Net Income (Common)$94.93M$62.47M$56.76M$44.28M$31.47M
Diluted EPS$1.78$1.17$1.07$0.83$0.58

Fact: Revenue has shown volatility typical of project-based business (peak in 2022, dip in 2023, recovery). Gross margins improving in recent periods. Yahoo Finance Financials

Interpretation: Growth in Energy Assets and O&M segments suggests increasing recurring revenue mix, which could improve predictability.

Assumption/Flag: Financial figures are GAAP-based from reported periods; TTM reflects latest available as of mid-2026. Future results subject to project backlog conversion and macroeconomic conditions.

2026 Full-Year Guidance (Company-Reported, Reaffirmed/Updated Aug 3, 2026)

MetricLowHigh
Revenue$2.0B$2.2B
Gross Margin17%18%
Adjusted EBITDA$250M$270M
Non-GAAP EPS$1.15$1.35

Fact: Revenue guidance range aligns with analyst consensus (~$2.1B average). EPS guidance raised to reflect tax benefits and accounting changes for transferable tax credits. Company IR - Q2 2026 Release

Stock Performance Overview

Fact: Stock has exhibited significant volatility, consistent with small/mid-cap clean energy/infrastructure names. Recent trading (July 2026) saw daily closes in the $18–$22 range with notable swings (e.g., multi-percent moves on earnings/news). Longer-term, performance tied to renewable energy sentiment, interest rates, and project wins.

Interpretation: Positive reaction to Q2 2026 earnings (revenue growth + raised EPS guidance) suggests market appreciation for execution in a growing sector, but broader market and sector rotations can drive swings.

Uncertainty: Historical performance does not guarantee future results; sector exposure to policy (e.g., IRA incentives) and capital markets creates uncertainty.

More Information: Yahoo Finance Historical Data | Seeking Alpha AMRC Page

Analyst Ratings

Consensus Estimates (as of latest available, post-Q2 2026)

MetricCurrent Qtr (Jun 2026)Next Qtr (Sep 2026)FY2026FY2027
Revenue (Avg Est.)$460.72M$587.66M$2.1B$2.28B
EPS (Avg Est.)$0.20$0.53$1.10$1.66
# Analysts (Revenue/EPS)11 / 911 / 911 / 1011 / 11

Fact: Analysts project ~8.7% revenue growth for 2026 and stronger EPS growth (~51% YoY for 2027). Estimates stable with minor revisions. Yahoo Finance Analysis

Interpretation: Positive growth outlook reflects expected project pipeline conversion and Europe expansion (noted as increasing revenue share).

Uncertainty: No explicit average price target or buy/hold/sell breakdown available in aggregated data; individual analyst views may vary and change with new information or macro shifts.

Data Limitation: Estimates are consensus aggregates and subject to revision; actual results may differ significantly due to project timing.

More Information: Full Analyst Estimates | Seeking Alpha Research

Customers and Competitors

Key Customers

Fact: Serves federal, state, and local governments; utilities; data centers; educational institutions (K-12 and higher ed); healthcare systems; housing authorities; commercial and industrial businesses; and transportation agencies across North America and Europe.

Interpretation: Diversified public/private mix provides stability, with federal and utility projects often offering long-term contracts and ESPC funding mechanisms.

More Information: Ameresco Official Site - Solutions/Customers

Competitors

CompanyTicker (if public)Notes
Johnson ControlsJCIBuilding efficiency and controls
EMCOR GroupEMEMechanical/electrical construction & services
Quanta ServicesPWRInfrastructure, renewables, utilities
Schneider ElectricPrivate (global)Energy management & automation
ENGIE ServicesPrivate (global)Energy services & efficiency
Tutor PeriniTPCConstruction/infrastructure
Matrix ServiceMTRXEnergy/infrastructure services
MYR GroupMYRGElectrical infrastructure

Fact: Primary peers in ESCO/energy services space include Johnson Controls, Schneider Electric, and ENGIE; broader infrastructure competitors like Quanta and EMCOR overlap in renewables/utility work. MarketBeat Competitors

Interpretation: Ameresco differentiates via integrated renewable asset ownership/operation and focus on smaller-scale distributed generation alongside efficiency projects.

Data Limitation: Competitor list is not exhaustive; market positioning can shift with acquisitions or new entrants. Direct comparability limited by business mix differences.

Overall Data Limitations & Assumptions: All information compiled from publicly available sources as of August 2026 (primarily company releases, Yahoo Finance, and analyst aggregates). Financials and estimates are historical or forward-looking consensus and subject to change. No investment advice is implied; stock performance involves significant risk. Verify latest filings (10-Q/10-K, 8-K) for most current data. Sources linked throughout for further reading.